Are Solar Panels Worth It in Tennessee? 2026 Cost & Payback

A typical Tennessee household uses about 1,200 kWh a month and pays 13.87¢ per kWh — roughly $166 a month. Covering that takes a 10.3 kW system costing about $29,274, which pays for itself in about 21 yr 7 mo.

Solar payback calculator — Tennessee

Adjust any input to see how the payback period moves.

Pays for itself in

21 yr 7 mo

from switch-on

25-year net gain

$5,829

after paying it off

System size

10.3 kW

Up-front cost

$29,208

Year 1 savings

$1,096

Year 1 output

14,362 kWh

No federal tax credit applied. The 30% residential credit (IRC §25D) ended for purchases made after 31 December 2025. Leases and PPAs fall under a different provision claimed by the installer.

The numbers behind it

Average electricity rate13.87¢ / kWh
Peak sun hours per day4.94 hours
Annual yield per kW installed1,397 kWh
Typical monthly usage1,200 kWh
System size needed10.3 kW
Installed cost per watt$2.84
Gross system cost$29,274
Federal tax creditNot available (expired for 2026 purchases)
Net up-front cost$29,274
First-year output14,400 kWh
First-year savings$1,099
Net meteringNo statewide net metering
Payback period21 yr 7 mo
25-year net gain$5,856

Net metering in Tennessee

Tennessee has no statewide retail net metering, so exported power earns only a low avoided-cost rate. Payback depends heavily on consuming your own production rather than exporting it.

Common questions

How much do solar panels cost in Tennessee?

At around $2.84 per watt installed, the 10.3 kW system a typical Tennessee home needs works out to roughly $29,274 before any incentives. The 30% federal residential credit no longer applies to systems purchased after 31 December 2025, so that is also the net price.

How long do solar panels take to pay for themselves in Tennessee?

About 21 yr 7 mo. That accounts for panel output falling roughly 0.5% a year and utility rates rising around 2.5% a year, which pull the answer in opposite directions.

Does Tennessee have net metering?

Tennessee has no statewide retail net metering, so exported power earns only a low avoided-cost rate. Payback depends heavily on consuming your own production rather than exporting it.

How much will I save over 25 years in Tennessee?

Roughly $5,856 after the system has paid for itself — about 20% return on the up-front cost. Savings are larger if electricity prices rise faster than 2.5% a year.

Is Tennessee sunny enough for solar?

Tennessee averages about 4.94 peak sun hours a day, and a well-oriented array there yields roughly 1,397 kWh per kW installed each year. Sunlight matters less than most people assume — electricity price is the bigger driver, which is why cloudy, expensive states often beat sunny, cheap ones.

How we calculate this

We model 25 years one year at a time rather than dividing cost by first-year savings. Panel output falls 0.5% each year and electricity prices rise 2.5% each year, so the payback figure reflects both.

Production uses the modelled AC yield for Tennessee rather than a flat efficiency factor. A peak-sun-hours approximation runs about 9% high, which is enough to make payback look a year faster than it is.

We assume 40% of generation is used in the home as it is produced, with the rest exported and credited according to the state's net metering rules.

Data vintage: Electricity: EIA Electric Power Monthly Table 5.6.B (residential, May 2026 YTD). Solar resource: PVGIS v5.3 (EU JRC), ERA5 2005-2023. Gasoline: AAA state averages. Natural gas: EIA residential by state. Heating degree days: NOAA CPC population-weighted normals. Retrieved 2026-08-03/04. Install costs, household usage, net-metering status, annual mileage, time-of-use spreads and outage hours remain estimates.

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