Are Solar Panels Worth It in Texas? 2026 Cost & Payback
A typical Texas household uses about 1,150 kWh a month and pays 16.15¢ per kWh — roughly $186 a month. Covering that takes a 9.9 kW system costing about $25,778, which pays for itself in about 14 yr 5 mo.
Solar payback calculator — Texas
Adjust any input to see how the payback period moves.
Pays for itself in
14 yr 5 mo
from switch-on
25-year net gain
$24,154
after paying it off
System size
9.9 kW
Up-front cost
$25,811
Year 1 savings
$1,562
Year 1 output
13,820 kWh
No federal tax credit applied. The 30% residential credit (IRC §25D) ended for purchases made after 31 December 2025. Leases and PPAs fall under a different provision claimed by the installer.
The numbers behind it
| Average electricity rate | 16.15¢ / kWh |
|---|---|
| Peak sun hours per day | 5.01 hours |
| Annual yield per kW installed | 1,401 kWh |
| Typical monthly usage | 1,150 kWh |
| System size needed | 9.9 kW |
| Installed cost per watt | $2.62 |
| Gross system cost | $25,778 |
| Federal tax credit | Not available (expired for 2026 purchases) |
| Net up-front cost | $25,778 |
| First-year output | 13,800 kWh |
| First-year savings | $1,560 |
| Net metering | Partial / net billing |
| Payback period | 14 yr 5 mo |
| 25-year net gain | $24,112 |
Net metering in Texas
Texas credits exported power below the retail rate. Electricity you use as it is generated is still worth full price, which makes daytime usage — and increasingly a battery — far more valuable.
Common questions
How much do solar panels cost in Texas?
At around $2.62 per watt installed, the 9.9 kW system a typical Texas home needs works out to roughly $25,778 before any incentives. The 30% federal residential credit no longer applies to systems purchased after 31 December 2025, so that is also the net price.
How long do solar panels take to pay for themselves in Texas?
About 14 yr 5 mo. That accounts for panel output falling roughly 0.5% a year and utility rates rising around 2.5% a year, which pull the answer in opposite directions.
Does Texas have net metering?
Texas credits exported power below the retail rate. Electricity you use as it is generated is still worth full price, which makes daytime usage — and increasingly a battery — far more valuable.
How much will I save over 25 years in Texas?
Roughly $24,112 after the system has paid for itself — about 94% return on the up-front cost. Savings are larger if electricity prices rise faster than 2.5% a year.
Is Texas sunny enough for solar?
Texas averages about 5.01 peak sun hours a day, and a well-oriented array there yields roughly 1,401 kWh per kW installed each year. Sunlight matters less than most people assume — electricity price is the bigger driver, which is why cloudy, expensive states often beat sunny, cheap ones.
How we calculate this
We model 25 years one year at a time rather than dividing cost by first-year savings. Panel output falls 0.5% each year and electricity prices rise 2.5% each year, so the payback figure reflects both.
Production uses the modelled AC yield for Texas rather than a flat efficiency factor. A peak-sun-hours approximation runs about 9% high, which is enough to make payback look a year faster than it is.
We assume 40% of generation is used in the home as it is produced, with the rest exported and credited according to the state's net metering rules.
Data vintage: Electricity: EIA Electric Power Monthly Table 5.6.B (residential, May 2026 YTD). Solar resource: PVGIS v5.3 (EU JRC), ERA5 2005-2023. Gasoline: AAA state averages. Natural gas: EIA residential by state. Heating degree days: NOAA CPC population-weighted normals. Retrieved 2026-08-03/04. Install costs, household usage, net-metering status, annual mileage, time-of-use spreads and outage hours remain estimates.